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US Traders Defy Polymarket Restrictions to Influence Election Odds

Despite official geo-restrictions, new data reveals that American users remain the primary drivers of activity on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket.

MustakJul 3, 20261 min read
#betting#crypto market#politics#usa

Polymarket, the leading decentralized betting platform, is facing fresh scrutiny as new analysis indicates that US-based participants are actively bypassing regional blocks. While the platform officially prohibits American users, industry data suggests they account for a substantial portion of the ongoing political wagering activity.

Research from data firm Allium highlights that a significant concentration of traffic originating from domestic IP addresses continues to engage with the site’s prediction markets. This trend has fueled concerns regarding regulatory compliance, especially as interest in high-stakes election betting reaches record levels.

The findings cast a shadow over the platform's current operational model, which relies on geofencing to maintain a distance from US financial regulators. As political uncertainty heightens, the discrepancy between intended access and actual platform usage is becoming impossible to ignore.

Industry experts suggest that this bypass behavior is facilitated by the widespread adoption of VPNs and proxy services. With election volatility expected to intensify, the question remains whether regulators will intervene to enforce stricter verification standards on decentralized betting venues.

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